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Well, I guess THEY were wrong! Ten False Predictions

Before looking at all the great predictions and announcements people are going to make about 2013, why not take a look back at a few predictions people have made in the past – predictions that have turned out to be incredibly wrong. From disbelief at computers to outrage at the suggestion of space travel, this list of some of the biggest prediction blunders is sure to put a smile on your face ( and let you take the predictions for 2013 with a grain of salt).

Ken Olsen (1926-2011)
1. Computers won't be a big deal

“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.” — Ken Olson,founder of Digital Equipment Corp. (DEC),  concerning the PC.</td>

Horseless Carriage
 2. Cars aren't going to last “The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty – a fad.” — The president of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford’s lawyer.
Alexander Graham Bell
3. Telephones will never be the preferred mode of communication “This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.” —Western Union Memo, 1878
Sir Douglas Haig
4. Horses are better than tanks “The idea that cavalry will be replaced by these iron coaches is absurd. It is little short of treasonous.” — Comment of Aide-de-camp to Field Marshal Haig, at tank demonstration, 1916.
Lord Kelvin
5. X-Rays are a lie “X-rays will prove to be a hoax.” — Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society, 1883.
Darryl Zanuck
6. What is TV?  “[TV] won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.” — Darryl Zanuck, movie producer, 20th Century Fox, 1946.
T. A. M. Craven
7. Satellites won't improve communication/entertainment “There is practically no chance communications space satellites will be used to provide better telephone, telegraph, television, or radio service inside the United States.” — T. Craven, FCC Commissioner, in 1961 – just 4 years before the first satellite went into use.
Lord Kelvin
8. Planes are impossible It takes a special man to make our list twice.  “Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.” — Lord Kelvin, British mathematician and physicist, president of the British Royal Society, 1895.
Thomas Watson, Jr.
9. Making copies “The world potential market for copying machines is 5000 at most.” — IBM to (what would become) Xerox, 1959.
Albert Einstein
10. Einstein didn't always get it right “There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.” – Albert Einstein, 1932


About Matthew Kabik

Matthew Kabik is the former Editor of Computer Aid's Accelerating IT Success. He worked at Computer Aid, Inc. from 2008 to 2014 in the Harrisburg offices, where he was a copywriter, swordsman, social media consultant, and trainer before moving into editorial.

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